Kelaniya Polling Division

Kelaniya
Polling Division
Location of Kelaniya
Coordinates: 6°58′19″N 79°54′36″E / 6.971994°N 79.910036°E / 6.971994; 79.910036
CountrySri Lanka
ProvinceWestern Province, Sri Lanka
Electoral DistrictGampaha Electoral District
Area
 • Total
23.44 km2 (9.05 sq mi)
Population
 (2012)[1]
 • Total
137,339
 • Density5,859/km2 (15,170/sq mi)
ISO 3166 codeEC-02M

The Kelaniya Polling Division is a Polling Division in the Gampaha Electoral District, in the Western Province, Sri Lanka.

Presidential Election Results

Summary

The winner of Kelaniya has matched the final country result 7 out of 8 times. Hence, Kelaniya is a Strong Bellwether for Presidential Elections.

Year Kelaniya Gampaha Electoral District MAE[2] % Sri Lanka MAE[3] %
2019 SLPP SLPP 1.71% SLPP 5.21%
2015 NDF NDF 3.33% NDF 1.66%
2010 UPFA UPFA 4.68% UPFA 1.30%
2005 UPFA UPFA 1.64% UPFA 2.65%
1999 PA PA 1.91% PA 3.23%
1994 PA PA 0.23% PA 2.03%
1988 SLFP SLFP 1.36% UNP 4.20%
1982 UNP UNP 1.45% UNP 1.10%
Matches/Mean MAE 7/8 7/8 2.04% 8/8 2.67%

2019 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Kelaniya[4] Gampaha Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
SLPP 43,668 57.57% 855,870 59.28% 6,924,255 52.25%
NDF 27,521 36.28% 494,671 34.26% 5,564,239 41.99%
NMPP 3,134 4.13% 61,760 4.28% 418,553 3.16%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,532 2.02% 31,499 2.18% 345,452 2.61%
Valid Votes 75,855 98.83% 1,443,800 98.92% 13,252,499 98.99%
Rejected Votes 899 1.17% 15,751 1.08% 135,452 1.01%
Total Polled 76,754 81.67% 1,459,551 83.31% 13,387,951 83.71%
Registered Electors 93,979 1,751,892 15,992,568

2015 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Kelaniya[5] Gampaha Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
NDF 37,884 53.16% 669,007 49.83% 6,217,162 51.28%
UPFA 32,856 46.11% 664,347 49.49% 5,768,090 47.58%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 520 0.73% 9,142 0.68% 138,200 1.14%
Valid Votes 71,260 98.81% 1,342,496 98.92% 12,123,452 98.85%
Rejected Votes 859 1.19% 14,647 1.08% 140,925 1.15%
Total Polled 72,119 80.02% 1,357,143 80.77% 12,264,377 78.69%
Registered Electors 90,122 1,680,263 15,585,942

2010 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Kelaniya[6] Gampaha Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 36,242 56.92% 718,716 61.66% 6,015,934 57.88%
NDF 26,740 42.00% 434,506 37.28% 4,173,185 40.15%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 689 1.08% 12,426 1.07% 204,494 1.97%
Valid Votes 63,671 99.09% 1,165,648 99.24% 10,393,613 99.03%
Rejected Votes 584 0.91% 8,960 0.76% 101,838 0.97%
Total Polled 64,255 77.32% 1,174,608 78.03% 10,495,451 66.70%
Registered Electors 83,105 1,505,363 15,734,587

2005 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Kelaniya[7] Gampaha Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 33,179 53.18% 596,698 54.78% 4,887,152 50.29%
UNP 28,676 45.96% 481,764 44.23% 4,706,366 48.43%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 532 0.85% 10,815 0.99% 123,521 1.27%
Valid Votes 62,387 98.88% 1,089,277 98.94% 9,717,039 98.88%
Rejected Votes 708 1.12% 11,724 1.06% 109,869 1.12%
Total Polled 63,095 78.57% 1,101,001 79.17% 9,826,908 69.51%
Registered Electors 80,301 1,390,691 14,136,979

1999 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Kelaniya[8] Gampaha Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 30,947 54.11% 532,796 56.58% 4,312,157 51.12%
UNP 22,215 38.84% 353,969 37.59% 3,602,748 42.71%
JVP 2,940 5.14% 40,472 4.30% 343,927 4.08%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,088 1.90% 14,382 1.53% 176,679 2.09%
Valid Votes 57,190 97.31% 941,619 97.84% 8,435,754 97.69%
Rejected Votes 1,582 2.69% 20,768 2.16% 199,536 2.31%
Total Polled 58,772 75.91% 962,387 77.12% 8,635,290 72.17%
Registered Electors 77,425 1,247,860 11,965,536

1994 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Kelaniya[9] Gampaha Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 35,601 64.48% 550,654 64.74% 4,709,205 62.28%
UNP 18,825 34.09% 288,608 33.93% 2,715,283 35.91%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 789 1.43% 11,256 1.32% 137,040 1.81%
Valid Votes 55,215 98.36% 850,518 98.48% 7,561,526 98.03%
Rejected Votes 920 1.64% 13,137 1.52% 151,706 1.97%
Total Polled 56,135 71.79% 863,655 74.16% 7,713,232 69.12%
Registered Electors 78,191 1,164,625 11,158,880

1988 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Kelaniya[10] Gampaha Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
SLFP 22,877 48.70% 355,553 48.83% 2,289,857 44.95%
UNP 21,395 45.55% 350,092 48.08% 2,569,199 50.43%
SLMP 2,700 5.75% 22,467 3.09% 235,701 4.63%
Valid Votes 46,972 98.55% 728,112 98.63% 5,094,754 98.24%
Rejected Votes 690 1.45% 10,108 1.37% 91,499 1.76%
Total Polled 47,662 72.26% 738,220 74.93% 5,186,256 55.87%
Registered Electors 65,961 985,206 9,283,143

1982 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Kelaniya[11] Gampaha Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 24,732 53.33% 365,847 52.50% 3,450,815 52.93%
SLFP 19,050 41.08% 301,808 43.31% 2,546,348 39.05%
JVP 2,179 4.70% 23,701 3.40% 273,428 4.19%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 411 0.89% 5,491 0.79% 249,460 3.83%
Valid Votes 46,372 98.98% 696,847 99.15% 6,520,156 98.78%
Rejected Votes 480 1.02% 5,992 0.85% 80,470 1.22%
Total Polled 46,852 79.86% 702,839 82.70% 6,600,626 80.15%
Registered Electors 58,671 849,896 8,235,358

Parliamentary Election Results

Summary

The winner of Kelaniya has matched the final country result 7 out of 7 times. Hence, Kelaniya is a Perfect Bellwether for Parliamentary Elections.

Year Kelaniya Gampaha Electoral District MAE[12] % Sri Lanka MAE[13] %
2015 UNP UNP 1.25% UNP 1.40%
2010 UPFA UPFA 4.48% UPFA 2.37%
2004 UPFA UPFA 5.03% UPFA 2.04%
2001 UNP UNP 2.52% UNP 1.15%
2000 PA PA 4.07% PA 2.03%
1994 PA PA 0.67% PA 5.46%
1989 UNP UNP 1.76% UNP 3.35%
Matches/Mean MAE 7/7 7/7 2.83% 7/7 2.54%

2020 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Kelaniya[14] Gampaha Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
SLPFA 39,172 60.96% 807,896 65.76% 6,853,693 59.09%
SJB 17,684 27.52% 285,809 23.27% 2,771,984 23.9%
JJB 3,421 5.32% 61,833 5.03% 445,958 3.84%
UNP 1,501 2.34% 28,282 2.3% 249,435 2.15%
OPPP 1,045 1.63% 21,627 1.76% 67,766 0.58%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,438 2.23% 23,027 1.88% 1,160,093 10.44%
Valid Votes 64,261 67.68% 1,228,474 68.78% 11,598,936 71.32%
Rejected Votes 4,090 4.31% 75,509 4.23% 744,373 4.58%
Total Polled 68,351 71.99% 1,303,983 73.01% 12,343,309 75.89%
Registered Electors 94,950 1,785,964 16,263,885

2015 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Kelaniya[15] Gampaha Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 31,501 47.93% 577,004 47.17% 5,098,916 45.77%
UPFA 28,323 43.10% 549,958 44.96% 4,732,664 42.48%
JVP 5,206 7.92% 87,880 7.18% 544,154 4.88%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 688 1.05% 8,332 0.68% 81,501 0.73%
Valid Votes 65,718 95.55% 1,223,174 95.51% 11,140,333 95.35%
Rejected Votes 3,024 4.40% 56,246 4.39% 516,926 4.42%
Total Polled 68,782 76.32% 1,280,647 78.21% 11,684,111 77.66%
Registered Electors 90,122 1,637,537 15,044,490

2010 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Kelaniya[16] Gampaha Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 30,276 57.95% 589,476 63.40% 4,846,388 60.38%
UNP 16,479 31.54% 266,523 28.67% 2,357,057 29.37%
DNA 5,322 10.19% 69,747 7.50% 441,251 5.50%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 170 0.33% 3,985 0.43% 19,003 0.24%
Valid Votes 52,247 95.08% 929,731 94.83% 8,026,322 96.03%
Rejected Votes 2,668 4.86% 50,234 5.12% 581,465 6.96%
Total Polled 54,953 66.12% 980,467 65.06% 8,358,246 59.29%
Registered Electors 83,105 1,506,969 14,097,690

2004 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Kelaniya[17] Gampaha Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 25,774 43.88% 509,963 51.52% 4,223,126 45.70%
UNP 21,450 36.52% 367,572 37.14% 3,486,792 37.73%
JHU 10,956 18.65% 102,516 10.36% 552,723 5.98%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 556 0.95% 9,691 0.98% 57,229 0.62%
Valid Votes 58,736 95.12% 989,742 95.96% 9,241,931 94.52%
Rejected Votes 2,996 4.85% 41,462 4.02% 534,452 5.47%
Total Polled 61,749 76.87% 1,031,464 77.72% 9,777,821 75.74%
Registered Electors 80,329 1,327,145 12,909,631

2001 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Kelaniya[18] Gampaha Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 27,174 45.65% 437,289 43.94% 4,086,026 45.62%
PA 23,419 39.34% 428,780 43.08% 3,330,815 37.19%
JVP 7,589 12.75% 113,990 11.45% 815,353 9.10%
SU 932 1.57% 8,105 0.81% 50,665 0.57%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 417 0.70% 7,066 0.71% 87,161 0.97%
Valid Votes 59,531 95.92% 995,230 96.30% 8,955,844 94.77%
Rejected Votes 2,532 4.08% 38,187 3.70% 494,009 5.23%
Total Polled 62,063 78.35% 1,033,417 80.36% 9,449,878 76.03%
Registered Electors 79,217 1,285,973 12,428,762

2000 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Kelaniya[19] Gampaha Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 24,734 42.85% 470,018 48.87% 3,899,329 45.33%
UNP 24,045 41.66% 378,328 39.34% 3,451,765 40.12%
JVP 5,651 9.79% 73,110 7.60% 518,725 6.03%
SU 2,292 3.97% 20,297 2.11% 127,859 1.49%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 994 1.72% 19,956 2.08% 319,123 3.71%
Valid Votes 57,716 N/A 961,709 N/A 8,602,617 N/A

1994 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Kelaniya[20] Gampaha Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 32,961 57.05% 509,030 56.79% 3,887,805 48.94%
UNP 23,504 40.68% 375,631 41.91% 3,498,370 44.04%
SLPF 1,314 2.27% 11,627 1.30% 90,078 1.13%
Valid Votes 57,779 96.22% 896,288 96.39% 7,943,688 95.20%
Rejected Votes 2,271 3.78% 33,553 3.61% 400,395 4.80%
Total Polled 60,050 76.80% 929,841 79.65% 8,344,095 74.75%
Registered Electors 78,191 1,167,469 11,163,064

1989 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Kelaniya[21] Gampaha Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 23,549 51.45% 385,733 54.14% 2,838,005 50.71%
SLFP 18,716 40.89% 294,490 41.34% 1,785,369 31.90%
USA 3,064 6.69% 21,665 3.04% 141,983 2.54%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 438 0.96% 10,549 1.48% 67,723 1.21%
Valid Votes 45,767 95.43% 712,437 95.64% 5,596,468 93.87%
Rejected Votes 2,190 4.57% 32,497 4.36% 365,563 6.13%
Total Polled 47,957 73.71% 744,934 76.82% 5,962,031 63.60%
Registered Electors 65,066 969,658 9,374,164

Demographics

Ethnicity

The Kelaniya Polling Division has a Sinhalese majority (83.8%) . In comparison, the Gampaha Electoral District (which contains the Kelaniya Polling Division) has a Sinhalese majority (90.5%) [1]

Ethnicity in Kelaniya[1]
  1. Sinhalese (83.8%)
  2. Moor (6.30%)
  3. Sri Lankan Tamil (5.90%)
  4. Malay (2.30%)
  5. Other (1.60%)

Religion

The Kelaniya Polling Division has a Buddhist majority (74.7%) . In comparison, the Gampaha Electoral District (which contains the Kelaniya Polling Division) has a Buddhist majority (71.3%) and a significant Roman Catholic population (19.5%) [1]

Religion in Kelaniya[1]
  1. Buddhist (74.7%)
  2. Roman Catholic (9.80%)
  3. Muslim (9.10%)
  4. Hindu (4.70%)
  5. Other Christian (1.70%)
  6. Other (0.00%)

References

  1. ^ a b c d e "Census of Population and Housing 2012". statistics.gov.lk. Department of Census and Statistics, Sri Lanka. 2012.
  2. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Kelaniya and the Gampaha Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  3. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Kelaniya and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  4. ^ "2019 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2019. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  5. ^ "2015 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  6. ^ "2010 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  7. ^ "2005 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2005. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  8. ^ "1999 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1999. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  9. ^ "1994 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  10. ^ "1988 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1988. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  11. ^ "1982 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1982. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  12. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Kelaniya and the Gampaha Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  13. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Kelaniya and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  14. ^ "2020 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2020.
  15. ^ "2015 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015.
  16. ^ "2010 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010.
  17. ^ "2004 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2004.
  18. ^ "2001 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2001.
  19. ^ "2000 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2000.
  20. ^ "1994 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994.
  21. ^ "1989 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1989.
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