Post-election pendulum for the 2011 New South Wales state election

This article provides the Mackerras pendulum following the 2011 New South Wales state election:[1]

For the pendulum immediately before the 2015 election, see Pre-election pendulum for the New South Wales state election, 2015.

Legislative Assembly

Pendulum

For current members, see Members of the New South Wales Legislative Assembly, 2011–2015.

The current New South Wales pendulum:[2]

Liberal/National seats
Marginal
Oatley Mark Coure LIB 0.5%
East Hills Glenn Brookes LIB 0.6%
Swansea Garry Edwards LIB 1.1%
Monaro John Barilaro NAT 2.1%
Newcastle Tim Owen LIB 2.6%
Wyong Darren Webber LIB 2.6%
Granville Tony Issa LIB 2.7%
Campbelltown Bryan Doyle LIB 3.4%
Rockdale John Flowers LIB 3.6%
Strathfield Charles Casuscelli LIB 4.4%
Blue Mountains Roza Sage LIB 4.7%
Smithfield Andrew Rohan LIB 4.8%
Fairly safe
Maitland Robyn Parker LIB 6.3%
Port Macquarie Leslie Williams NAT v IND 6.5%
Kiama Gareth Ward LIB 7.5%
Tamworth Kevin Anderson NAT v IND 7.8%
Coogee Bruce Notley-Smith LIB 8.3%
Charlestown Andrew Cornwell LIB 9.9%
Safe
Wagga Wagga Daryl Maguire LIB v IND 10.3%
Gosford Chris Holstein LIB 11.9%
Mulgoa Tanya Davies LIB 12.0%
Hornsby Matt Kean LIB v IND 12.1%
Parramatta Geoff Lee LIB 12.1%
Londonderry Bart Bassett LIB 12.3%
Port Stephens Craig Baumann LIB 12.5%
The Entrance Chris Spence LIB 12.5%
Heathcote Lee Evans LIB 12.9%
Dubbo Troy Grant NAT v IND 13.7%
Wollondilly Jai Rowell LIB 14.7%
Penrith Stuart Ayres LIB 16.3%
Drummoyne John Sidoti LIB 16.7%
Ballina Don Page NAT v GRN 17.8%
Upper Hunter George Souris NAT v IND 18.3%
Bega Andrew Constance LIB 18.6%
Camden Chris Patterson LIB 18.9%
Very safe
Riverstone Kevin Conolly LIB 20.2%
Lismore Thomas George NAT v GRN 20.2%
South Coast Shelley Hancock LIB 20.4%
Miranda Graham Annesley LIB 21.0%
Tweed Geoff Provest NAT 21.7%
Orange Andrew Gee NAT v IND 21.9%
Clarence Steve Cansdell NAT v IND 23.3%
Bathurst Paul Toole NAT 23.7%
Terrigal Chris Hartcher LIB 24.2%
Menai Melanie Gibbons LIB 24.4%
Myall Lakes Stephen Bromhead NAT v IND 24.9%
Epping Greg Smith LIB 25.2%
Cronulla Mark Speakman LIB 25.6%
Lane Cove Anthony Roberts LIB v GRN 25.7%
Ryde Victor Dominello LIB 25.7%
Vaucluse Gabrielle Upton LIB v GRN 26.1%
Baulkham Hills David Elliott LIB 26.4%
Goulburn Pru Goward LIB 26.6%
Albury Greg Aplin LIB 26.9%
Manly Mike Baird LIB v GRN 27.0%
Coffs Harbour Andrew Fraser NAT 27.2%
Murray-Darling John Williams NAT 27.2%
Murrumbidgee Adrian Piccoli NAT 27.9%
Pittwater Rob Stokes LIB v GRN 28.0%
Willoughby Gladys Berejiklian LIB v GRN 28.1%
Wakehurst Brad Hazzard LIB v GRN 28.5%
Oxley Andrew Stoner NAT v GRN 28.8%
North Shore Jillian Skinner LIB v GRN 30.3%
Castle Hill Dominic Perrottet LIB 30.8%
Burrinjuck Katrina Hodgkinson NAT 31.1%
Ku-ring-gai Barry O'Farrell LIB v GRN 31.3%
Barwon Kevin Humphries NAT 32.0%
Davidson Jonathan O'Dea LIB v GRN 33.4%
Hawkesbury Ray Williams LIB 34.7%
Labor seats
Marginal
Toongabbie Nathan Rees ALP 0.3%
Marrickville Carmel Tebbutt ALP v GRN 0.9%
Wollongong Noreen Hay ALP v IND 1.0%
Macquarie Fields Andrew McDonald ALP 1.5%
Maroubra Michael Daley ALP 1.6%
Fairfield Guy Zangari ALP 1.7%
Kogarah Cherie Burton ALP 1.9%
Cabramatta Nick Lalich ALP 2.1%
Blacktown John Robertson ALP 3.7%
Keira Ryan Park ALP 3.9%
Cessnock Clayton Barr ALP 4.4%
Fairly safe
Wallsend Sonia Hornery ALP 6.6%
Mount Druitt Richard Amery ALP 6.7%
Lakemba Robert Furolo ALP 7.0%
Heffron Kristina Keneally ALP 7.1%
Canterbury Linda Burney ALP 8.3%
Auburn Barbara Perry ALP 8.5%
Shellharbour Anna Watson ALP 8.6%
Safe
Bankstown Tania Mihailuk ALP 10.3%
Liverpool Paul Lynch ALP 14.7%
Independent & other seats
Sydney Clover Moore IND v LIB 3.1%
Balmain Jamie Parker GRN v LIB 3.5%
Lake Macquarie Greg Piper IND v LIB 14.9%
Northern Tablelands Richard Torbay IND v NAT 19.4%

Legislative Council

For current members, see Members of the New South Wales Legislative Council, 2011–2015.

Current balance

Party Seats held Current 42-seat Council
2011 Now
Labor Party 14 14                                          
Liberal Party 12 12                                          
National Party 7 7                                          
The Greens 5 5                                          
Shooters and Fishers Party 2 2                                          
Christian Democratic Party 2 2                                          

References

  1. ^ "NSW 2011 seat results". Australian Broadcasting Corporation.
  2. ^ NSW 2011 seat results: ABC
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