Bulathsinhala Polling Division

Bulathsinhala
Polling Division
Location of Bulathsinhala
Coordinates: 6°38′46″N 80°08′39″E / 6.646018°N 80.144162°E / 6.646018; 80.144162
CountrySri Lanka
ProvinceWestern Province, Sri Lanka
Electoral DistrictKalutara Electoral District
Area
 • Total
286.74 km2 (110.71 sq mi)
Population
 (2012)[1]
 • Total
98,981
 • Density345/km2 (890/sq mi)
ISO 3166 codeEC-03D

The Bulathsinhala Polling Division is a Polling Division in the Kalutara Electoral District, in the Western Province, Sri Lanka.

Presidential Election Results

Summary

The winner of Bulathsinhala has matched the final country result 7 out of 8 times. Hence, Bulathsinhala is a Strong Bellwether for Presidential Elections.

Year Bulathsinhala Kalutara Electoral District MAE[2] % Sri Lanka MAE[3] %
2019 SLPP SLPP 0.39% SLPP 6.35%
2015 UPFA UPFA 3.62% NDF 8.51%
2010 UPFA UPFA 2.24% UPFA 7.16%
2005 UPFA UPFA 3.20% UPFA 1.98%
1999 PA PA 3.24% PA 1.57%
1994 PA PA 4.84% PA 5.76%
1988 UNP SLFP 1.67% UNP 2.40%
1982 UNP UNP 1.32% UNP 4.73%
Matches/Mean MAE 7/8 6/8 2.57% 8/8 4.81%

2019 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Bulathsinhala[4] Kalutara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
SLPP 42,021 59.51% 482,920 59.49% 6,924,255 52.25%
NDF 25,407 35.98% 284,213 35.01% 5,564,239 41.99%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,721 2.44% 16,949 2.09% 345,452 2.61%
NMPP 1,468 2.08% 27,681 3.41% 418,553 3.16%
Valid Votes 70,617 99.29% 811,763 99.16% 13,252,499 98.99%
Rejected Votes 503 0.71% 6,847 0.84% 135,452 1.01%
Total Polled 71,120 86.27% 818,610 85.71% 13,387,951 83.71%
Registered Electors 82,439 955,080 15,992,568

2015 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Bulathsinhala[5] Kalutara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 37,311 56.17% 395,890 52.65% 5,768,090 47.58%
NDF 28,341 42.66% 349,404 46.46% 6,217,162 51.28%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 779 1.17% 6,690 0.89% 138,200 1.14%
Valid Votes 66,431 98.93% 751,984 98.90% 12,123,452 98.85%
Rejected Votes 716 1.07% 8,381 1.10% 140,925 1.15%
Total Polled 67,147 81.76% 760,365 82.08% 12,264,377 78.69%
Registered Electors 82,123 926,346 15,585,942

2010 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Bulathsinhala[6] Kalutara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 38,018 65.04% 412,562 63.06% 6,015,934 57.88%
NDF 19,073 32.63% 231,807 35.43% 4,173,185 40.15%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,365 2.34% 9,880 1.51% 204,494 1.97%
Valid Votes 58,456 99.28% 654,249 99.31% 10,393,613 99.03%
Rejected Votes 423 0.72% 4,541 0.69% 101,838 0.97%
Total Polled 58,879 78.51% 658,790 79.05% 10,495,451 66.70%
Registered Electors 74,991 833,360 15,734,587

2005 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Bulathsinhala[7] Kalutara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 29,218 52.01% 341,693 55.48% 4,887,152 50.29%
UNP 25,918 46.13% 266,043 43.20% 4,706,366 48.43%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,043 1.86% 8,124 1.32% 123,521 1.27%
Valid Votes 56,179 98.87% 615,860 98.95% 9,717,039 98.88%
Rejected Votes 644 1.13% 6,517 1.05% 109,869 1.12%
Total Polled 56,823 79.94% 622,377 79.67% 9,826,908 69.51%
Registered Electors 71,080 781,175 14,136,979

1999 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Bulathsinhala[8] Kalutara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 25,424 50.25% 281,217 52.88% 4,312,157 51.12%
UNP 22,879 45.22% 217,423 40.88% 3,602,748 42.71%
JVP 1,397 2.76% 23,770 4.47% 343,927 4.08%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 897 1.77% 9,399 1.77% 176,679 2.09%
Valid Votes 50,597 98.08% 531,809 97.83% 8,435,754 97.69%
Rejected Votes 991 1.92% 11,796 2.17% 199,536 2.31%
Total Polled 51,588 77.91% 543,605 78.23% 8,635,290 72.17%
Registered Electors 66,212 694,860 11,965,536

1994 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Bulathsinhala[9] Kalutara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 27,072 56.52% 295,686 61.47% 4,709,205 62.28%
UNP 20,094 41.95% 178,466 37.10% 2,715,283 35.91%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 729 1.52% 6,867 1.43% 137,040 1.81%
Valid Votes 47,895 98.41% 481,019 98.50% 7,561,526 98.03%
Rejected Votes 772 1.59% 7,309 1.50% 151,706 1.97%
Total Polled 48,667 77.09% 488,328 73.97% 7,713,232 69.12%
Registered Electors 63,131 660,191 11,158,880

1988 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Bulathsinhala[10] Kalutara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 18,705 49.30% 169,510 46.74% 2,569,199 50.43%
SLFP 18,491 48.74% 179,761 49.57% 2,289,857 44.95%
SLMP 743 1.96% 13,375 3.69% 235,701 4.63%
Valid Votes 37,939 97.73% 362,646 98.23% 5,094,754 98.24%
Rejected Votes 880 2.27% 6,537 1.77% 91,499 1.76%
Total Polled 38,819 66.89% 369,183 64.20% 5,186,256 55.87%
Registered Electors 58,030 575,008 9,283,143

1982 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Bulathsinhala[11] Kalutara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 21,486 49.74% 211,592 50.15% 3,450,815 52.93%
SLFP 20,068 46.46% 185,874 44.06% 2,546,348 39.05%
JVP 998 2.31% 14,499 3.44% 273,428 4.19%
LSSP 521 1.21% 8,613 2.04% 58,531 0.90%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 121 0.28% 1,314 0.31% 190,929 2.93%
Valid Votes 43,194 98.67% 421,892 98.76% 6,520,156 98.78%
Rejected Votes 582 1.33% 5,290 1.24% 80,470 1.22%
Total Polled 43,776 85.34% 427,182 83.97% 6,600,626 80.15%
Registered Electors 51,297 508,744 8,235,358

Parliamentary Election Results

Summary

The winner of Bulathsinhala has matched the final country result 6 out of 7 times. Hence, Bulathsinhala is a Strong Bellwether for Parliamentary Elections.

Year Bulathsinhala Kalutara Electoral District MAE[12] % Sri Lanka MAE[13] %
2015 UPFA UPFA 2.39% UNP 5.31%
2010 UPFA UPFA 3.68% UPFA 5.67%
2004 UPFA UPFA 4.10% UPFA 4.52%
2001 UNP UNP 1.85% UNP 3.12%
2000 PA PA 2.77% PA 3.23%
1994 PA PA 4.23% PA 2.64%
1989 UNP UNP 3.24% UNP 5.64%
Matches/Mean MAE 6/7 6/7 3.18% 7/7 4.31%

2015 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Bulathsinhala[14] Kalutara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 31,612 52.26% 338,801 48.58% 4,732,664 42.48%
UNP 26,254 43.41% 310,234 44.48% 5,098,916 45.77%
JVP 2,052 3.39% 38,475 5.52% 544,154 4.88%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 568 0.94% 9,951 1.43% 85,579 0.77%
Valid Votes 60,486 96.23% 697,461 97.00% 11,140,333 95.35%
Rejected Votes 2,340 3.72% 21,366 2.97% 516,926 4.42%
Total Polled 62,853 76.54% 719,001 80.13% 11,684,111 77.66%
Registered Electors 82,123 897,349 15,044,490

2010 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Bulathsinhala[15] Kalutara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 29,522 68.58% 313,836 63.74% 4,846,388 60.38%
UNP 11,737 27.26% 139,596 28.35% 2,357,057 29.37%
DNA 1,577 3.66% 36,722 7.46% 441,251 5.50%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 213 0.49% 2,246 0.46% 34,923 0.44%
Valid Votes 43,049 88.17% 492,400 90.41% 8,026,322 96.03%
Rejected Votes 5,734 11.74% 51,751 9.50% 581,465 6.96%
Total Polled 48,827 65.11% 544,606 65.21% 8,358,246 59.29%
Registered Electors 74,991 835,186 14,097,690

2004 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Bulathsinhala[16] Kalutara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 25,374 49.77% 291,208 51.72% 4,223,126 45.70%
UNP 22,767 44.65% 212,721 37.78% 3,486,792 37.73%
JHU 2,621 5.14% 56,615 10.06% 552,723 5.98%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 225 0.44% 2,475 0.44% 49,030 0.53%
Valid Votes 50,987 93.19% 563,019 94.82% 9,241,931 94.52%
Rejected Votes 3,728 6.81% 30,741 5.18% 534,452 5.47%
Total Polled 54,715 78.48% 593,760 79.58% 9,777,821 75.74%
Registered Electors 69,720 746,138 12,909,631

2001 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Bulathsinhala[17] Kalutara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 24,592 48.75% 254,339 45.94% 4,086,026 45.62%
PA 20,909 41.45% 226,468 40.91% 3,330,815 37.19%
JVP 3,976 7.88% 60,451 10.92% 815,353 9.10%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 969 1.92% 12,361 2.23% 137,091 1.53%
Valid Votes 50,446 93.12% 553,619 94.44% 8,955,844 94.77%
Rejected Votes 3,730 6.88% 32,617 5.56% 494,009 5.23%
Total Polled 54,176 79.91% 586,236 81.68% 9,449,878 76.03%
Registered Electors 67,795 717,764 12,428,762

2000 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Bulathsinhala[18] Kalutara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 24,308 47.87% 255,175 46.86% 3,899,329 45.33%
UNP 22,812 44.92% 217,215 39.89% 3,451,765 40.12%
JVP 2,037 4.01% 38,373 7.05% 518,725 6.03%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,028 2.02% 18,136 3.33% 321,730 3.74%
SU 597 1.18% 15,619 2.87% 127,859 1.49%
Valid Votes 50,782 N/A 544,518 N/A 8,602,617 N/A

1994 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Bulathsinhala[19] Kalutara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 24,364 50.04% 271,754 53.77% 3,887,805 48.94%
UNP 23,755 48.79% 221,115 43.75% 3,498,370 44.04%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 566 1.16% 12,491 2.47% 159,429 2.01%
Valid Votes 48,685 93.98% 505,360 95.21% 7,943,688 95.20%
Rejected Votes 3,121 6.02% 25,397 4.79% 400,395 4.80%
Total Polled 51,806 82.06% 530,757 80.20% 8,344,095 74.75%
Registered Electors 63,131 661,793 11,163,064

1989 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Bulathsinhala[20] Kalutara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 16,360 55.80% 160,069 49.84% 2,838,005 50.71%
SLFP 12,024 41.01% 131,510 40.94% 1,785,369 31.90%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 616 2.10% 16,643 5.18% 300,186 5.36%
SLMC 321 1.09% 12,971 4.04% 202,016 3.61%
Valid Votes 29,321 92.25% 321,193 94.10% 5,596,468 93.87%
Rejected Votes 2,463 7.75% 20,139 5.90% 365,563 6.13%
Total Polled 31,784 55.65% 341,332 59.86% 5,962,031 63.60%
Registered Electors 57,111 570,193 9,374,164

Demographics

Ethnicity

The Bulathsinhala Polling Division has a Sinhalese majority (87.3%) . In comparison, the Kalutara Electoral District (which contains the Bulathsinhala Polling Division) has a Sinhalese majority (86.8%) [1]

Ethnicity in Bulathsinhala[1]
  1. Sinhalese (87.3%)
  2. Indian Tamil (5.70%)
  3. Sri Lankan Tamil (4.70%)
  4. Moor (2.30%)
  5. Other (0.00%)

Religion

The Bulathsinhala Polling Division has a Buddhist majority (87.0%) . In comparison, the Kalutara Electoral District (which contains the Bulathsinhala Polling Division) has a Buddhist majority (83.4%) [1]

Religion in Bulathsinhala[1]
  1. Buddhist (87.0%)
  2. Hindu (9.30%)
  3. Muslim (2.30%)
  4. Other (1.30%)

References

  1. ^ a b c d e "Census of Population and Housing 2012". statistics.gov.lk. Department of Census and Statistics, Sri Lanka. 2012.
  2. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Bulathsinhala and the Kalutara Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  3. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Bulathsinhala and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  4. ^ "2019 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2019. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  5. ^ "2015 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  6. ^ "2010 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  7. ^ "2005 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2005. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  8. ^ "1999 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1999. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  9. ^ "1994 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  10. ^ "1988 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1988. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  11. ^ "1982 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1982. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  12. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Bulathsinhala and the Kalutara Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  13. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Bulathsinhala and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  14. ^ "2015 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015.
  15. ^ "2010 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010.
  16. ^ "2004 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2004.
  17. ^ "2001 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2001.
  18. ^ "2000 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2000.
  19. ^ "1994 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994.
  20. ^ "1989 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1989.
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