Deniyaya Polling Division

Deniyaya
Polling Division
Location of Deniyaya
Coordinates: 6°17′05″N 80°29′21″E / 6.284619°N 80.489104°E / 6.284619; 80.489104
CountrySri Lanka
ProvinceSouthern Province, Sri Lanka
Electoral DistrictMatara Electoral District
Area
 • Total
312.8 km2 (120.8 sq mi)
Population
 (2012)[1]
 • Total
114,441
 • Density366/km2 (950/sq mi)
ISO 3166 codeEC-08A

The Deniyaya Polling Division is a Polling Division in the Matara Electoral District, in the Southern Province, Sri Lanka.

Presidential Election Results

Summary

The winner of Deniyaya has matched the final country result 6 out of 8 times. Hence, Deniyaya is a Weak Bellwether for Presidential Elections.

Year Deniyaya Matara Electoral District MAE[2] % Sri Lanka MAE[3] %
2019 SLPP SLPP 3.14% SLPP 11.08%
2015 UPFA UPFA 0.29% NDF 9.88%
2010 UPFA UPFA 0.32% UPFA 7.74%
2005 UPFA UPFA 5.82% UPFA 5.72%
1999 PA PA 1.49% PA 2.71%
1994 PA PA 3.96% PA 1.59%
1988 SLFP SLFP 3.74% UNP 4.40%
1982 UNP UNP 2.08% UNP 1.64%
Matches/Mean MAE 6/8 6/8 2.60% 8/8 5.59%

2019 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Deniyaya[4] Matara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
SLPP 54,472 64.04% 374,481 67.25% 6,924,255 52.25%
NDF 25,763 30.29% 149,026 26.76% 5,564,239 41.99%
NMPP 2,786 3.28% 23,439 4.21% 418,553 3.16%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 2,041 2.40% 9,922 1.78% 345,452 2.61%
Valid Votes 85,062 99.15% 556,868 99.33% 13,252,499 98.99%
Rejected Votes 731 0.85% 3,782 0.67% 135,452 1.01%
Total Polled 85,793 85.57% 560,650 85.93% 13,387,951 83.71%
Registered Electors 100,264 652,417 15,992,568

2015 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Deniyaya[5] Matara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 44,273 57.39% 297,823 57.81% 5,768,090 47.58%
NDF 31,716 41.12% 212,435 41.24% 6,217,162 51.28%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,149 1.49% 4,892 0.95% 138,200 1.14%
Valid Votes 77,138 98.73% 515,150 99.06% 12,123,452 98.85%
Rejected Votes 990 1.27% 4,891 0.94% 140,925 1.15%
Total Polled 78,128 80.04% 520,041 80.23% 12,264,377 78.69%
Registered Electors 97,610 648,213 15,585,942

2010 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Deniyaya[6] Matara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 42,999 65.53% 296,155 65.53% 6,015,934 57.88%
NDF 20,939 31.91% 148,510 32.86% 4,173,185 40.15%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,675 2.55% 7,264 1.61% 204,494 1.97%
Valid Votes 65,613 99.06% 451,929 99.34% 10,393,613 99.03%
Rejected Votes 624 0.94% 3,025 0.66% 101,838 0.97%
Total Polled 66,237 76.74% 454,954 76.51% 10,495,451 66.70%
Registered Electors 86,311 594,628 15,734,587

2005 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Deniyaya[7] Matara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 36,916 55.79% 279,411 61.85% 4,887,152 50.29%
UNP 28,015 42.34% 165,837 36.71% 4,706,366 48.43%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,242 1.88% 6,474 1.43% 123,521 1.27%
Valid Votes 66,173 98.69% 451,722 99.11% 9,717,039 98.88%
Rejected Votes 879 1.31% 4,077 0.89% 109,869 1.12%
Total Polled 67,052 81.14% 455,799 78.95% 9,826,908 69.51%
Registered Electors 82,636 577,327 14,136,979

1999 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Deniyaya[8] Matara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 29,229 53.09% 205,685 54.32% 4,312,157 51.12%
UNP 21,400 38.87% 139,677 36.89% 3,602,748 42.71%
JVP 3,108 5.65% 26,229 6.93% 343,927 4.08%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,318 2.39% 7,047 1.86% 176,679 2.09%
Valid Votes 55,055 97.41% 378,638 97.78% 8,435,754 97.69%
Rejected Votes 1,464 2.59% 8,583 2.22% 199,536 2.31%
Total Polled 56,519 75.96% 387,221 73.90% 8,635,290 72.17%
Registered Electors 74,409 524,002 11,965,536

1994 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Deniyaya[9] Matara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 30,662 60.40% 227,865 64.69% 4,709,205 62.28%
UNP 18,819 37.07% 118,224 33.56% 2,715,283 35.91%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,284 2.53% 6,150 1.75% 137,040 1.81%
Valid Votes 50,765 97.52% 352,239 98.40% 7,561,526 98.03%
Rejected Votes 1,293 2.48% 5,731 1.60% 151,706 1.97%
Total Polled 52,058 73.21% 357,970 69.93% 7,713,232 69.12%
Registered Electors 71,106 511,933 11,158,880

1988 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Deniyaya[10] Matara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
SLFP 10,949 50.55% 57,424 54.30% 2,289,857 44.95%
UNP 10,157 46.89% 45,399 42.93% 2,569,199 50.43%
SLMP 554 2.56% 2,922 2.76% 235,701 4.63%
Valid Votes 21,660 98.28% 105,745 98.14% 5,094,754 98.24%
Rejected Votes 378 1.72% 2,003 1.86% 91,499 1.76%
Total Polled 22,038 37.77% 107,748 23.80% 5,186,256 55.87%
Registered Electors 58,342 452,637 9,283,143

1982 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Deniyaya[11] Matara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 22,457 52.41% 164,725 49.32% 3,450,815 52.93%
SLFP 18,147 42.36% 144,587 43.29% 2,546,348 39.05%
JVP 1,886 4.40% 22,117 6.62% 273,428 4.19%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 355 0.83% 2,554 0.76% 249,460 3.83%
Valid Votes 42,845 99.01% 333,983 99.08% 6,520,156 98.78%
Rejected Votes 428 0.99% 3,091 0.92% 80,470 1.22%
Total Polled 43,273 86.86% 337,074 82.90% 6,600,626 80.15%
Registered Electors 49,817 406,595 8,235,358

Parliamentary Election Results

Summary

The winner of Deniyaya has matched the final country result 6 out of 7 times. Hence, Deniyaya is a Strong Bellwether for Parliamentary Elections.

Year Deniyaya Matara Electoral District MAE[12] % Sri Lanka MAE[13] %
2015 UPFA UPFA 1.96% UNP 5.45%
2010 UPFA UPFA 1.19% UPFA 4.32%
2004 UPFA UPFA 3.96% UPFA 6.15%
2001 UNP UNP 1.45% UNP 2.35%
2000 PA PA 2.12% PA 2.94%
1994 PA PA 4.88% PA 3.55%
1989 UNP UNP 1.85% UNP 5.34%
Matches/Mean MAE 6/7 6/7 2.49% 7/7 4.30%

2015 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Deniyaya[14] Matara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 36,532 51.49% 250,505 52.70% 4,732,664 42.48%
UNP 30,024 42.31% 186,675 39.27% 5,098,916 45.77%
JVP 4,070 5.74% 35,270 7.42% 544,154 4.88%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 328 0.46% 2,890 0.61% 62,184 0.56%
Valid Votes 70,954 96.17% 475,340 96.93% 11,140,333 95.35%
Rejected Votes 2,702 3.66% 12,692 2.59% 516,926 4.42%
Total Polled 73,776 75.58% 490,409 78.61% 11,684,111 77.66%
Registered Electors 97,610 623,818 15,044,490

2010 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Deniyaya[15] Matara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 30,270 66.82% 213,937 65.31% 4,846,388 60.38%
UNP 12,737 28.12% 91,114 27.81% 2,357,057 29.37%
DNA 1,960 4.33% 20,465 6.25% 441,251 5.50%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 333 0.74% 2,066 0.63% 53,531 0.67%
Valid Votes 45,300 94.34% 327,582 95.82% 8,026,322 96.03%
Rejected Votes 2,718 5.66% 14,289 4.18% 581,465 6.96%
Total Polled 48,018 55.63% 341,871 59.06% 8,358,246 59.29%
Registered Electors 86,311 578,858 14,097,690

2004 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Deniyaya[16] Matara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 33,051 56.79% 241,235 60.27% 4,223,126 45.70%
UNP 23,262 39.97% 139,633 34.89% 3,486,792 37.73%
JHU 1,197 2.06% 16,229 4.05% 552,723 5.98%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 692 1.19% 3,136 0.78% 54,133 0.59%
Valid Votes 58,202 92.76% 400,233 94.62% 9,241,931 94.52%
Rejected Votes 4,545 7.24% 22,769 5.38% 534,452 5.47%
Total Polled 62,747 78.18% 423,002 76.84% 9,777,821 75.74%
Registered Electors 80,259 550,506 12,909,631

2001 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Deniyaya[17] Matara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 26,114 44.70% 171,661 42.49% 4,086,026 45.62%
PA 24,399 41.76% 171,141 42.37% 3,330,815 37.19%
JVP 6,776 11.60% 54,476 13.49% 815,353 9.10%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,134 1.94% 6,689 1.66% 133,373 1.49%
Valid Votes 58,423 93.55% 403,967 95.10% 8,955,844 94.77%
Rejected Votes 4,030 6.45% 20,820 4.90% 494,009 5.23%
Total Polled 62,453 80.54% 424,787 79.44% 9,449,878 76.03%
Registered Electors 77,540 534,694 12,428,762

2000 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Deniyaya[18] Matara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 29,427 50.80% 203,690 51.47% 3,899,329 45.33%
UNP 23,807 41.10% 146,855 37.11% 3,451,765 40.12%
JVP 3,986 6.88% 38,757 9.79% 518,725 6.03%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 710 1.23% 6,462 1.63% 238,931 2.78%
Valid Votes 57,930 N/A 395,764 N/A 8,602,617 N/A

1994 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Deniyaya[19] Matara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 30,743 55.29% 227,285 59.90% 3,887,805 48.94%
UNP 23,930 43.03% 142,024 37.43% 3,498,370 44.04%
SLPF 756 1.36% 8,736 2.30% 90,078 1.13%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 178 0.32% 1,422 0.37% 68,538 0.86%
Valid Votes 55,607 94.35% 379,467 95.67% 7,943,688 95.20%
Rejected Votes 3,330 5.65% 17,167 4.33% 400,395 4.80%
Total Polled 58,937 82.89% 396,634 77.60% 8,344,095 74.75%
Registered Electors 71,106 511,109 11,163,064

1989 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Deniyaya[20] Matara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 3,556 57.76% 45,734 56.11% 2,838,005 50.71%
SLFP 2,301 37.37% 28,752 35.28% 1,785,369 31.90%
MEP 105 1.71% 1,313 1.61% 90,480 1.62%
USA 104 1.69% 4,225 5.18% 141,983 2.54%
ELJP 91 1.48% 1,481 1.82% 67,723 1.21%
Valid Votes 6,157 91.57% 81,505 94.08% 5,596,468 93.87%
Rejected Votes 567 8.43% 5,128 5.92% 365,563 6.13%
Total Polled 6,724 11.59% 86,633 19.17% 5,962,031 63.60%
Registered Electors 58,008 451,926 9,374,164

Demographics

Ethnicity

The Deniyaya Polling Division has a Sinhalese majority (86.2%) . In comparison, the Matara Electoral District (which contains the Deniyaya Polling Division) has a Sinhalese majority (94.3%) [1]

Ethnicity in Deniyaya[1]
  1. Sinhalese (86.2%)
  2. Indian Tamil (8.30%)
  3. Sri Lankan Tamil (5.30%)
  4. Other (0.10%)

Religion

The Deniyaya Polling Division has a Buddhist majority (86.3%) and a significant Hindu population (10.9%) . In comparison, the Matara Electoral District (which contains the Deniyaya Polling Division) has a Buddhist majority (94.1%) [1]

Religion in Deniyaya[1]
  1. Buddhist (86.3%)
  2. Hindu (10.9%)
  3. Other Christian (1.50%)
  4. Roman Catholic (1.00%)
  5. Other (0.20%)

References

  1. ^ a b c d e "Census of Population and Housing 2012". statistics.gov.lk. Department of Census and Statistics, Sri Lanka. 2012.
  2. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Deniyaya and the Matara Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  3. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Deniyaya and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  4. ^ "2019 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2019. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  5. ^ "2015 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  6. ^ "2010 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  7. ^ "2005 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2005. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  8. ^ "1999 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1999. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  9. ^ "1994 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  10. ^ "1988 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1988. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  11. ^ "1982 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1982. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  12. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Deniyaya and the Matara Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  13. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Deniyaya and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  14. ^ "2015 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015.
  15. ^ "2010 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010.
  16. ^ "2004 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2004.
  17. ^ "2001 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2001.
  18. ^ "2000 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2000.
  19. ^ "1994 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994.
  20. ^ "1989 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1989.
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