Opinion polling for the 2025 Portuguese local elections
In the run up to the 2025 Portuguese local elections, various organisations will carry out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in several municipalities across Portugal. Results of such polls are displayed in this article. The date range for these opinion polls are from the previous local elections, held on 26 September 2021, to the day the next elections will be held, on 12 October 2025.
Polling
Alenquer
| Polling firm/Link | Fieldwork date | Sample size | PS | PSD/CDS/IL PPM/MPT/NC | CDU | CH | Ind. | BE | O | Lead | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSD | CDS | IL | ||||||||||
| Multidados[a] | 17 Fev–11 Mar 2025 | 350 | 41.0 | 10.9 | — | 0.9 | 2.5 | 12.7 | 23.5 | 0.9 | 7.7 | 17.5 |
| 2021 local election | 26 Sep 2021 | — | 42.4 5 | 14.6 1 | 6.4 0 | — | 11.5 1 | 7.4 0 | 6.9 0 | 5.7 0 | 5.1 | 27.8 |
Cascais
| Polling firm/Link | Fieldwork date | Sample size | PSD CDS | PS | CH | CDU | BE L PAN | IL | Ind. (JMJ) | Ind. (APP) | O | Lead | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metris | 26 May–8 Jun 2025 | 805[b] | 43.1 | 9.1 | 13.5 | 2.0 | 2.6 | 11.0 | 12.2 | 3.2 | 2.6 | 29.6 | |||
| 805[c] | 44.0 | — | 14.0 | 2.9 | 2.7 | 11.2 | 16.8 | 2.7 | 5.7 | 27.2 | |||||
| 805[d] | 45.8 | — | 13.7 | 3.1 | 2.9 | 12.0 | 15.4 | — | 5.3 | 30.4 | |||||
| Metris | 15–21 Oct 2024 | 402[e] | 36 | 24 | 18 | 3 | — | — | 14 | — | 5 | 12 | |||
| 402[f] | 32 | 23 | 17 | 3 | — | 21 | — | 4 | 9 | ||||||
| 2021 local election | 26 Sep 2021 | — | 52.6 7 | 21.6 3 | 7.4 1 | 5.4 0 | 3.7 0[g] | 4.3 0 | — | — | 5.0 | 31.0 | |||
Covilhã
| Polling firm/Link | Fieldwork date | Sample size | PS | CDS IL | PSD | CDU | CH | O | Lead | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aximage[h] | 8–23 Jan 2025 | 500 | 59.5 | 27.0 | 4.1 | 5.4 | 4.1 | 32.5 | ||||
| 2021 local election | 26 Sep 2021 | — | 46.2 4 | 30.4 3 | 9.7 0 | 1.7 0 | 11.9 0 | 15.8 | ||||
Faro
| Polling firm/Link | Fieldwork date | Sample size | PSD CDS IL PAN MPT | PS | CDU | CH | BE | O | Lead | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ICS/ISCTE | 23–28 Jul 2025 | 802 | 29 | 31 | 5 | 23 | 5 | 7 | 2 | |||||||
| 2021 local election | 26 Sep 2021 | — | 47.8 6[i] | 2.7 0[j] | 30.6 3 | 6.5 0 | 5.1 0 | 4.1 0 | 3.3 | 17.2 | ||||||
Figueira da Foz
| Polling firm/Link | Fieldwork date | Sample size | PSD/CDS | PS | CDU | BE L PAN | CH | O | Lead | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSL | PSD | CDS | |||||||||||||||
| Intercampus[k] | 18 Jul–3 Aug 2024 | 601 | 46.1 | 16.9 | 0.5 | 25.2 | 2.6 | 2.0 | 3.2 | 2.7 | 20.9 | ||||||
| Aximage | 27 Feb–10 Mar 2023 | 486 | 66 | 3 | 0 | 18 | 1 | 1 | — | 11 | 48 | ||||||
| 2021 local election[1] | 26 Sep 2021 | — | 40.4 4 | 10.8 1 | 1.2 0 | 38.4 4 | 2.7 0 | 2.5 0[g] | — | 4.5 | 2.0 | ||||||
Lisbon
| Polling firm/Link | Fieldwork date | Sample size | PSD CDS IL | PS L BE PAN | CDU | CH | O | Lead | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ICS/ISCTE | 14–27 Jul 2025 | 800 | 41 | 36 | 5 | 14 | 4 | 5 | ||||||||||
| 2021 local election | 26 Sep 2021 | — | 34.3 7[l] | 4.2 0[m] | 33.3 7[n] | 6.2 1[g] | 2.7 0[j] | 10.5 2 | 4.4 0 | 4.4 0 | 1.0 | |||||||
Penafiel
| Polling firm/Link | Fieldwork date | Sample size | PSD CDS | PS | CH | CDU | BE | IL | O | Lead | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IPOM[o] | 20–27 Jan 2025 | 586 | 49.6 | 27.7 | 11.4 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 7.8 | 21.9 | ||||
| 2021 local election | 26 Sep 2021 | — | 60.5 6 | 30.9 3 | 2.2 0 | 1.9 0 | 1.7 0 | — | 2.8 | 29.6 | ||||
Porto
| Polling firm/Link | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Ind. (FA) | PS | PSD IL CDS | CDU | BE | CH | L | NC PPM | O | Lead | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ICS/ISCTE | 17 Jun–2 Jul 2025 | 805 | 5 | 36 | 33 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | |||
| 2021 local election | 26 Sep 2021 | — | 40.7 6 | 18.0 3 | 17.2 2[p] | 7.5 1 | 6.3 1 | 3.0 0 | 0.5 0 | — | 6.8 0 | 22.7 | |||
Torres Novas
| Polling firm/Link | Fieldwork date | Sample size | PS | PSD CDS | Ind. (MPNT) | BE | CDU | CH | IL | O | Lead | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Intercampus[q] | 18–28 Nov 2024 | 411 | 62.8 | 10.8 | 4.3 | 3.5 | 2.1 | 10.8 | — | 5.6 | 52.0 | ||||
| 2021 local election | 26 Sep 2021 | — | 45.3 5 | 16.9 1 | 16.6 1 | 6.9 0 | 6.0 0 | 3.1 0 | 1.3 0 | 4.0 | 28.4 | ||||
Notes
- ^ Results presented here exclude Undecideds: 21.7% and Would not vote: 10.3% . With their inclusion results are: PS: 27.9%; Independent movements: 16.0%; CHEGA: 8.6%; PSD: 7.4%; CDU: 1.7%; BE:0.6%; IL: 0.6%; Others/Invalid: 5.2%.
- ^ Results presented here exclude Undecideds: 18.0%; Would not vote: 3.0%; and Doesn't respond: 3.2% . With their inclusion results are: PSD/CDS: 32.6%; CH: 10.2%; João Maria Jonet (JMJ): 9.2%; IL: 8.3%; PS: 6.9%; António Pinto Pereira: 2.4%; BE: 2.0%; CDU: 1.5%; Others/Invalid: 2.6%.
- ^ Scenario of the PS not on the ballot. Results presented here exclude Undecideds: 18.7%; Would not vote: 3.1%; and Doesn't respond: 3.2% . With their inclusion results are: PSD/CDS: 33.0%; João Maria Jonet (JMJ): 12.6%; CH: 10.5%; IL: 8.4%; CDU: 2.2%; António Pinto Pereira: 2.0%; BE: 2.0%; Others/Invalid: 4.3%.
- ^ Scenario of the PS and António Pinto Pereira not on the ballot. Results presented here exclude Undecideds: 18.4%; Would not vote: 3.2%; and Doesn't respond: 3.3% . With their inclusion results are: PSD/CDS: 34.4%; João Maria Jonet (JMJ): 11.6%; CH: 10.3%; IL: 9.0%; CDU: 2.2%; BE: 2.2%; Others/Invalid: 5.3%.
- ^ Results presented here exclude Undecideds: 12%; Would not vote: 8%; and Doesn't respond: 4% . With their inclusion results are: PSD/CDS: 27%; PS: 18%; CHEGA: 14%; João Maria Jonet (JMJ): 11%; CDU: 2%; Others/Invalid: 4%.
- ^ Results presented here exclude Undecideds: 13%; Would not vote: 5%; and Doesn't respond: 4% . With their inclusion results are: PSD/CDS: 25%; PS: 18%; João Maria Jonet (JMJ) supported by IL: 16%; CHEGA: 13%; CDU: 2%; Others/Invalid: 3%.
- ^ a b c Left Bloc result in 2021.
- ^ Results presented here exclude undecideds (26%). With their inclusion results are: PS: 44%; PSD/CDS/IL: 20%; CHEGA: 4%; CDU: 3%; Others/Invalid: 3%.
- ^ PSD/CDS/IL/MPT/PPM coalition result in 2021.
- ^ a b People Animals Nature result in 2021.
- ^ Results presented here exclude undecideds (10.2%). With their inclusion results are: PSL: 42.1%; PS: 22.6%; PSD: 15.2%; CHEGA: 2.9%; CDU: 2.3%; BE: 1.8%; CDS: 0.4%; Others/Invalid: 2.4%.
- ^ PSD/CDS/A/MPT/PPM coalition result in 2021.
- ^ Liberal Initiative result in 2021.
- ^ PS/LIVRE coalition result in 2021.
- ^ Results presented here exclude Undecideds: 29.9% and Would not vote: 2.4% . With their inclusion results are: PSD/CDS: 33.6%; PS: 18.8%; CHEGA: 7.7%; CDU: 1.0%; BE: 0.9%; IL: 0.5%; Others/Invalid: 5.3%.
- ^ Social Democratic Party result in 2021.
- ^ Results presented here exclude undecideds (25.0%). With their inclusion results are: PS: 47.1%; PSD/CDS: 8.1%; CHEGA: 8.1%; CDU: 2.3%; MPNT: 3.2%; BE: 2.6%; CDU: 1.6%; Others/Invalid: 4.2%.
References
- ^ "Mapa oficial dos resultados das eleições gerais para os titulares dos órgãos das autarquias locais de 26 de setembro de 2021" (PDF). Comissão Nacional de Eleições (in Portuguese). 2025-01-13. Retrieved 2025-08-18.
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